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Mitch Keller headshot

Mitch Keller

Outs·16+·LAD @ PIT

6:41 PM ET

WagerLens Take

Is Mitch Keller 16+ Outs a good bet at this number?

Lean Over

Mitch Keller has recorded 16+ outs in 5 of their last 7 games (71%). Lean over. Small sample — only 7 games of tracked data.

Best Over

−101· Pinnacle

Best Under

−117· DraftKings

Updated 2h ago·Thin sample · 7 games·Methodology →

Mitch Keller vs 15.5: recent track record

Recent games for Mitch Keller outs vs line 15.5.

Recent games vs line

The hit rate breakdown

Over
EV -3.0%
Fresh 2h ago
L560%(3/5)
L1060%(6/10)
Season71%(5/7)
Under
EV -3.8%
Fresh 2h ago
L540%(2/5)
L1040%(4/10)

Games Played

13

ERA

4.9

Outs L1

14

Outs Avg L3

14.667

Outs Avg L5

15.6

Outs Avg L7

16.714

Outs Avg L10

16.5

Outs Avg

16.846

Line movement on this prop

Line movement for both sides of the bet, plus best available over vs under over time.

Price history for the Over

Mitch Keller 16+ Outs

29 updates7 books tracked

Price history for the Under

Mitch Keller Under 15.5 Outs

26 updates6 books tracked

Best over vs best under for this line

Frequently asked

Is Mitch Keller 16+ Outs a good bet at this number?

Mitch Keller has recorded 16+ outs in 5 of their last 7 games (71%). Lean over. Small sample — only 7 games of tracked data.

What is Mitch Keller's hit rate on this prop?

Mitch Keller went 16+ in 5 of 7 tracked games — 71% at this line. That's one signal. We also check the season baseline and whether the current price beats our fair-value estimate.

What is the best price on Mitch Keller 16+?

−101 at Pinnacle is the best we're seeing right now across seven books (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, theScore Bet, Pinnacle). Line shopping matters — the spread across books on a single prop usually runs 15–20 cents. Always take the top of the market.

When does this prop resolve?

Grades on the official box score after LAD @ PIT (scheduled for 6:41 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens decide whether a prop is worth betting?

We look at hit rate (last 10 and last 30), the full-season baseline, and how the prop is priced across seven books. We strip the vig to find a fair price and compare that to the best price available. If the offered price beats fair, we call it a lean. If not, we pass — and we pass a lot. A bad price is still a bad price, even when the player is on a run.