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Gavin Williams headshot

Gavin Williams

Outs·18+·NYY @ CLE

6:41 PM ET

WagerLens Take

Is Gavin Williams 18+ Outs a good bet at this number?

Lean Over

Gavin Williams has reached 18+ outs in 6 of 7 recent games (86%). Lean over. Small sample — only 7 games of tracked data.

Best Over

−129· DraftKings

Best Under

+119· Pinnacle

Updated 8 min ago·Thin sample · 7 games·Methodology →

Gavin Williams vs 17.5: recent track record

Recent games for Gavin Williams outs vs line 17.5.

Recent games vs line

The hit rate breakdown

Over
EV -2.5%
Fresh 8 min ago
L580%(4/5)
L1080%(8/10)
Season86%(6/7)
Under
EV +0.9%
Fresh 8 min ago
L520%(1/5)
L1020%(2/10)

Games Played

13

ERA

3.24

Outs L1

16

Outs Avg L3

20.333

Outs Avg L5

19.4

Outs Avg L7

19.714

Outs Avg L10

19.2

Outs Avg

18.846

Line movement on this prop

Line movement for both sides of the bet, plus best available over vs under over time.

Price history for the Over

Gavin Williams 18+ Outs

32 updates6 books tracked

Price history for the Under

Gavin Williams Under 17.5 Outs

32 updates6 books tracked

Best over vs best under for this line

Frequently asked

Is Gavin Williams 18+ Outs a good bet at this number?

Gavin Williams has reached 18+ outs in 6 of 7 recent games (86%). Lean over. Small sample — only 7 games of tracked data.

What is Gavin Williams's hit rate on this prop?

Gavin Williams went 18+ in 6 of 7 tracked games — 86% at this line. That's one signal. We also check the season baseline and whether the current price beats our fair-value estimate.

What is the best price on Gavin Williams 18+?

−129 at DraftKings is the best we're seeing right now across seven books (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, theScore Bet, Pinnacle). Line shopping matters — the spread across books on a single prop usually runs 15–20 cents. Always take the top of the market.

When does this prop resolve?

Grades on the official box score after NYY @ CLE (scheduled for 6:41 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens decide whether a prop is worth betting?

We look at hit rate (last 10 and last 30), the full-season baseline, and how the prop is priced across seven books. We strip the vig to find a fair price and compare that to the best price available. If the offered price beats fair, we call it a lean. If not, we pass — and we pass a lot. A bad price is still a bad price, even when the player is on a run.