Aaron Civale
Outs·15+·PIT @ ATH
9:41 PM ET
Is Aaron Civale 15+ Outs a good bet at this number?
Aaron Civale has had 15+ outs in 6 of 7 recent games (86%). Lean over. Small sample — only 7 games of tracked data.
Best Over
−108· Caesars
Best Under
−118· BetMGM
Aaron Civale vs 14.5: recent track record
Recent games for Aaron Civale outs vs line 14.5.
Recent games vs line
The hit rate breakdown
Games Played
11
ERA
4.29
Outs L1
12
Outs Avg L3
14
Outs Avg L5
15
Outs Avg L7
15.143
Outs Avg L10
15.2
Outs Avg
15.182
Line movement on this prop
Line movement for both sides of the bet, plus best available over vs under over time.
Price history for the Over
Aaron Civale 15+ Outs
Price history for the Under
Aaron Civale Under 14.5 Outs
Best over vs best under for this line
Frequently asked
Is Aaron Civale 15+ Outs a good bet at this number?
Aaron Civale has had 15+ outs in 6 of 7 recent games (86%). Lean over. Small sample — only 7 games of tracked data.
What is Aaron Civale's hit rate on this prop?
Aaron Civale went 15+ in 6 of 7 tracked games — 86% at this line. That's one signal. We also check the season baseline and whether the current price beats our fair-value estimate.
What is the best price on Aaron Civale 15+?
−108 at Caesars is the best we're seeing right now across seven books (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, theScore Bet, Pinnacle). Line shopping matters — the spread across books on a single prop usually runs 15–20 cents. Always take the top of the market.
When does this prop resolve?
Grades on the official box score after PIT @ ATH (scheduled for 9:41 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens decide whether a prop is worth betting?
We look at hit rate (last 10 and last 30), the full-season baseline, and how the prop is priced across seven books. We strip the vig to find a fair price and compare that to the best price available. If the offered price beats fair, we call it a lean. If not, we pass — and we pass a lot. A bad price is still a bad price, even when the player is on a run.