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Spencer Arrighetti headshot

Spencer Arrighetti

Hits Allowed·Under 5.5·HOU @ LAA

9:39 PM ET

WagerLens Take

Is Spencer Arrighetti Under 5.5 Hits Allowed a good bet at this number?

Lean Under

Spencer Arrighetti has hit the under 5.5 in 6 of 7 recent games (86%). Lean under. Small sample — only 7 games of tracked data.

Best Over

+131· Pinnacle

Best Under

−175· Pinnacle

Updated 10h ago·Thin sample · 7 games·Methodology →

Spencer Arrighetti vs 5.5: recent track record

Recent games for Spencer Arrighetti hits allowed vs line 5.5.

Recent games vs line

The hit rate breakdown

Over
EV -6.5%
Fresh 10h ago
L520%(1/5)
L1010%(1/10)
Under
EV -6.5%
Fresh 10h ago
L580%(4/5)
L1080%(8/10)
Season86%(6/7)

Games Played

9

ERA

1.97

H L1

6

H Avg L3

3.667

H Avg L5

3.4

H Avg L7

3.571

H Avg L10

3.667

H Avg

3.667

Line movement on this prop

Line movement for both sides of the bet, plus best available over vs under over time.

Price history for the Over

Spencer Arrighetti 6+ Hits Allowed

2 updates1 books tracked

Price history for the Under

Spencer Arrighetti Under 5.5 Hits Allowed

2 updates1 books tracked

Best over vs best under for this line

Frequently asked

Is Spencer Arrighetti Under 5.5 Hits Allowed a good bet at this number?

Spencer Arrighetti has hit the under 5.5 in 6 of 7 recent games (86%). Lean under. Small sample — only 7 games of tracked data.

What is Spencer Arrighetti's hit rate on this prop?

Spencer Arrighetti went Under 5.5 in 6 of 7 tracked games — 86% at this line. That's one signal. We also check the season baseline and whether the current price beats our fair-value estimate.

What is the best price on Spencer Arrighetti Under 5.5?

−175 at Pinnacle is the best we're seeing right now across seven books (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, theScore Bet, Pinnacle). Line shopping matters — the spread across books on a single prop usually runs 15–20 cents. Always take the top of the market.

When does this prop resolve?

Grades on the official box score after HOU @ LAA (scheduled for 9:39 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens decide whether a prop is worth betting?

We look at hit rate (last 10 and last 30), the full-season baseline, and how the prop is priced across seven books. We strip the vig to find a fair price and compare that to the best price available. If the offered price beats fair, we call it a lean. If not, we pass — and we pass a lot. A bad price is still a bad price, even when the player is on a run.