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Roki Sasaki

Hits Allowed·Under 4.5·SD @ LAD

10:11 PM ET

WagerLens Take

Is Roki Sasaki Under 4.5 Hits Allowed a good bet at this number?

Worth a look, Under

Roki Sasaki cleared the under 4.5 in their last game. WagerLens flags this market. Small sample — only 7 games of tracked data.

Best Over

−101· Pinnacle

Best Under

−115· BetMGM

Updated just now·Thin sample · 7 games·Methodology →

Roki Sasaki vs 4.5: recent track record

Recent games for Roki Sasaki hits allowed vs line 4.5.

Recent games vs line

The hit rate breakdown

Over
EV -3.1%
Fresh just now
L520%(1/5)
L1040%(4/10)
Under
EV -1.1%
Fresh just now
L580%(4/5)
L1060%(6/10)
Season86%(6/7)

Games Played

14

ERA

4.97

H L1

3

H Avg L3

4.667

H Avg L5

3.8

H Avg L7

3.857

H Avg L10

4.5

H Avg

4.714

Line movement on this prop

Line movement for both sides of the bet, plus best available over vs under over time.

Price history for the Over

Roki Sasaki 5+ Hits Allowed

12 updates3 books tracked

Price history for the Under

Roki Sasaki Under 4.5 Hits Allowed

12 updates3 books tracked

Best over vs best under for this line

Frequently asked

Is Roki Sasaki Under 4.5 Hits Allowed a good bet at this number?

Roki Sasaki cleared the under 4.5 in their last game. WagerLens flags this market. Small sample — only 7 games of tracked data.

Why is this tagged worth a look?

WagerLens flags Under 4.5 hits allowed.

What is Roki Sasaki's hit rate on this prop?

Roki Sasaki went Under 4.5 in 6 of 7 tracked games — 86% at this line. That's one signal. We also check the season baseline and whether the current price beats our fair-value estimate.

What is the best price on Roki Sasaki Under 4.5?

−115 at BetMGM is the best we're seeing right now across seven books (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, theScore Bet, Pinnacle). Line shopping matters — the spread across books on a single prop usually runs 15–20 cents. Always take the top of the market.

When does this prop resolve?

Grades on the official box score after SD @ LAD (scheduled for 10:11 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens decide whether a prop is worth betting?

We look at hit rate (last 10 and last 30), the full-season baseline, and how the prop is priced across seven books. We strip the vig to find a fair price and compare that to the best price available. If the offered price beats fair, we call it a lean. If not, we pass — and we pass a lot. A bad price is still a bad price, even when the player is on a run.