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Martin Perez headshot

Martin Perez

Hits Allowed·Under 5.5·STL @ ATL

7:16 PM ET

WagerLens Take

Is Martin Perez Under 5.5 Hits Allowed a good bet at this number?

Lean Under

Martin Perez cleared the under 5.5 in their last game. Lean under. Small sample — only 10 games of tracked data.

Best Over

+131· Pinnacle

Best Under

−150· BetMGM

Updated 1h ago·Thin sample · 10 games·Methodology →

Martin Perez vs 5.5: recent track record

Recent games for Martin Perez hits allowed vs line 5.5.

Recent games vs line

The hit rate breakdown

Over
EV -1.5%
Fresh 1h ago
L520%(1/5)
L1010%(1/10)
Under
EV -2.2%
Fresh 1h ago
L580%(4/5)
L1090%(9/10)
Season90%(9/10)

Games Played

16

ERA

3.06

H L1

4

H Avg L3

4.667

H Avg L5

4.2

H Avg L7

4.429

H Avg L10

3.6

H Avg

3.375

Line movement on this prop

Line movement for both sides of the bet, plus best available over vs under over time.

Price history for the Over

Martin Perez 6+ Hits Allowed

8 updates4 books tracked

Price history for the Under

Martin Perez Under 5.5 Hits Allowed

8 updates4 books tracked

Best over vs best under for this line

Frequently asked

Is Martin Perez Under 5.5 Hits Allowed a good bet at this number?

Martin Perez cleared the under 5.5 in their last game. Lean under. Small sample — only 10 games of tracked data.

What is Martin Perez's hit rate on this prop?

Martin Perez went Under 5.5 in 9 of 10 tracked games — 90% at this line. That's one signal. We also check the season baseline and whether the current price beats our fair-value estimate.

What is the best price on Martin Perez Under 5.5?

−150 at BetMGM is the best we're seeing right now across seven books (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, theScore Bet, Pinnacle). Line shopping matters — the spread across books on a single prop usually runs 15–20 cents. Always take the top of the market.

When does this prop resolve?

Grades on the official box score after STL @ ATL (scheduled for 7:16 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens decide whether a prop is worth betting?

We look at hit rate (last 10 and last 30), the full-season baseline, and how the prop is priced across seven books. We strip the vig to find a fair price and compare that to the best price available. If the offered price beats fair, we call it a lean. If not, we pass — and we pass a lot. A bad price is still a bad price, even when the player is on a run.