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Luis Castillo headshot

Luis Castillo

Hits Allowed·Under 5.5·SEA @ WAS

4:05 PM ET

WagerLens Take

Is Luis Castillo Under 5.5 Hits Allowed a good bet at this number?

Worth a look, Under

Luis Castillo has hit the under 5.5 in 5 of 5 recent games (100%). WagerLens flags this market. Small sample — only 5 games of tracked data.

Best Over

+105· Pinnacle

Best Under

−115· BetMGM

Updated 47 min ago·Thin sample · 5 games·Methodology →

Luis Castillo vs 5.5: recent track record

Recent games for Luis Castillo hits allowed vs line 5.5.

Recent games vs line

The hit rate breakdown

Over
EV -1.7%
Fresh 47 min ago
L50%(0/5)
L1030%(3/10)
Under
EV +0.2%
Fresh 47 min ago
L5100%(5/5)
L1070%(7/10)
Season100%(5/5)

Games Played

13

ERA

5.35

H L1

2

H Avg L3

2

H Avg L5

2.2

H Avg L7

3.143

H Avg L10

4.1

H Avg

4.615

Line movement on this prop

Line movement for both sides of the bet, plus best available over vs under over time.

Price history for the Over

Luis Castillo 6+ Hits Allowed

13 updates4 books tracked

Price history for the Under

Luis Castillo Under 5.5 Hits Allowed

13 updates4 books tracked

Best over vs best under for this line

Frequently asked

Is Luis Castillo Under 5.5 Hits Allowed a good bet at this number?

Luis Castillo has hit the under 5.5 in 5 of 5 recent games (100%). WagerLens flags this market. Small sample — only 5 games of tracked data.

Why is this tagged worth a look?

WagerLens flags Under 5.5 hits allowed.

What is Luis Castillo's hit rate on this prop?

Luis Castillo went Under 5.5 in 5 of 5 tracked games — 100% at this line. That's one signal. We also check the season baseline and whether the current price beats our fair-value estimate.

What is the best price on Luis Castillo Under 5.5?

−115 at BetMGM is the best we're seeing right now across seven books (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, theScore Bet, Pinnacle). Line shopping matters — the spread across books on a single prop usually runs 15–20 cents. Always take the top of the market.

When does this prop resolve?

Grades on the official box score after SEA @ WAS (scheduled for 4:05 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens decide whether a prop is worth betting?

We look at hit rate (last 10 and last 30), the full-season baseline, and how the prop is priced across seven books. We strip the vig to find a fair price and compare that to the best price available. If the offered price beats fair, we call it a lean. If not, we pass — and we pass a lot. A bad price is still a bad price, even when the player is on a run.