Brandon Pfaadt
Hits Allowed·Under 4.5·ARI @ SD
9:41 PM ET
Is Brandon Pfaadt Under 4.5 Hits Allowed a good bet at this number?
Brandon Pfaadt has hit the under 4.5 in 10 of 10 recent games (100%). WagerLens flags this market. Small sample — only 10 games of tracked data.
Best Over
−134· DraftKings
Best Under
+125· BetMGM
Brandon Pfaadt vs 4.5: recent track record
Recent games for Brandon Pfaadt hits allowed vs line 4.5.
Recent games vs line
The hit rate breakdown
Games Played
14
ERA
5.71
H L1
3
H Avg L3
3
H Avg L5
2.2
H Avg L7
2.143
H Avg L10
2.2
H Avg
3.071
Line movement on this prop
Line movement for both sides of the bet, plus best available over vs under over time.
Price history for the Over
Brandon Pfaadt 5+ Hits Allowed
Price history for the Under
Brandon Pfaadt Under 4.5 Hits Allowed
Best over vs best under for this line
Frequently asked
Is Brandon Pfaadt Under 4.5 Hits Allowed a good bet at this number?
Brandon Pfaadt has hit the under 4.5 in 10 of 10 recent games (100%). WagerLens flags this market. Small sample — only 10 games of tracked data.
Why is this tagged worth a look?
WagerLens flags Under 4.5 hits allowed.
What is Brandon Pfaadt's hit rate on this prop?
Brandon Pfaadt went Under 4.5 in 10 of 10 tracked games — 100% at this line. That's one signal. We also check the season baseline and whether the current price beats our fair-value estimate.
What is the best price on Brandon Pfaadt Under 4.5?
+125 at BetMGM is the best we're seeing right now across seven books (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, theScore Bet, Pinnacle). Line shopping matters — the spread across books on a single prop usually runs 15–20 cents. Always take the top of the market.
When does this prop resolve?
Grades on the official box score after ARI @ SD (scheduled for 9:41 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens decide whether a prop is worth betting?
We look at hit rate (last 10 and last 30), the full-season baseline, and how the prop is priced across seven books. We strip the vig to find a fair price and compare that to the best price available. If the offered price beats fair, we call it a lean. If not, we pass — and we pass a lot. A bad price is still a bad price, even when the player is on a run.