Seth Lugo
Hits Allowed·6+·KC @ MIN
7:41 PM ET
Is Seth Lugo 6+ Hits Allowed a good bet at this number?
Seth Lugo had 6+ hits allowed in their last game. Lean over. Small sample — only 7 games of tracked data.
Best Over
−130· BetMGM
Best Under
+114· Pinnacle
Seth Lugo vs 5.5: recent track record
Recent games for Seth Lugo hits allowed vs line 5.5.
Recent games vs line
The hit rate breakdown
Games Played
12
ERA
3.62
H L1
6
H Avg L3
5.667
H Avg L5
6.4
H Avg L7
7.714
H Avg L10
6.4
H Avg
6.083
Line movement on this prop
Line movement for both sides of the bet, plus best available over vs under over time.
Price history for the Over
Seth Lugo 6+ Hits Allowed
Price history for the Under
Seth Lugo Under 5.5 Hits Allowed
Best over vs best under for this line
Frequently asked
Is Seth Lugo 6+ Hits Allowed a good bet at this number?
Seth Lugo had 6+ hits allowed in their last game. Lean over. Small sample — only 7 games of tracked data.
What is Seth Lugo's hit rate on this prop?
Seth Lugo went 6+ in 6 of 7 tracked games — 86% at this line. That's one signal. We also check the season baseline and whether the current price beats our fair-value estimate.
What is the best price on Seth Lugo 6+?
−130 at BetMGM is the best we're seeing right now across seven books (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, theScore Bet, Pinnacle). Line shopping matters — the spread across books on a single prop usually runs 15–20 cents. Always take the top of the market.
When does this prop resolve?
Grades on the official box score after KC @ MIN (scheduled for 7:41 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens decide whether a prop is worth betting?
We look at hit rate (last 10 and last 30), the full-season baseline, and how the prop is priced across seven books. We strip the vig to find a fair price and compare that to the best price available. If the offered price beats fair, we call it a lean. If not, we pass — and we pass a lot. A bad price is still a bad price, even when the player is on a run.