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Paul Skenes

Hits Allowed·4+·CIN @ PIT

6:41 PM ET

WagerLens Take

Is Paul Skenes 4+ Hits Allowed a good bet at this number?

Lean Over

Paul Skenes has had 4+ hits allowed in 7 straight games. Lean over. Small sample — only 7 games of tracked data.

Best Over

−151· DraftKings

Best Under

+115· Pinnacle

Updated 51 min ago·Thin sample · 7 games·Methodology →

Paul Skenes vs 3.5: recent track record

Recent games for Paul Skenes hits allowed vs line 3.5.

Recent games vs line

The hit rate breakdown

Over
EV -5.3%
Fresh 51 min ago
L5100%(5/5)
L1080%(8/10)
Season100%(7/7)
Under
EV -7.1%
Fresh 51 min ago
L50%(0/5)
L1020%(2/10)

Games Played

16

ERA

2.91

H L1

4

H Avg L3

4.667

H Avg L5

4.8

H Avg L7

5.571

H Avg L10

5

H Avg

4

Line movement on this prop

Line movement for both sides of the bet, plus best available over vs under over time.

Price history for the Over

Paul Skenes 4+ Hits Allowed

9 updates3 books tracked

Price history for the Under

Paul Skenes Under 3.5 Hits Allowed

9 updates3 books tracked

Best over vs best under for this line

Frequently asked

Is Paul Skenes 4+ Hits Allowed a good bet at this number?

Paul Skenes has had 4+ hits allowed in 7 straight games. Lean over. Small sample — only 7 games of tracked data.

What is Paul Skenes's hit rate on this prop?

Paul Skenes went 4+ in 7 of 7 tracked games — 100% at this line. That's one signal. We also check the season baseline and whether the current price beats our fair-value estimate.

What is the best price on Paul Skenes 4+?

−151 at DraftKings is the best we're seeing right now across seven books (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, theScore Bet, Pinnacle). Line shopping matters — the spread across books on a single prop usually runs 15–20 cents. Always take the top of the market.

When does this prop resolve?

Grades on the official box score after CIN @ PIT (scheduled for 6:41 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens decide whether a prop is worth betting?

We look at hit rate (last 10 and last 30), the full-season baseline, and how the prop is priced across seven books. We strip the vig to find a fair price and compare that to the best price available. If the offered price beats fair, we call it a lean. If not, we pass — and we pass a lot. A bad price is still a bad price, even when the player is on a run.