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Paul Skenes

Hits Allowed·4+·PIT @ CLE

1:41 PM ET

WagerLens Take

Is Paul Skenes 4+ Hits Allowed a good bet at this number?

Lean Over

Paul Skenes has recorded 4+ hits allowed in 9 of their last 10 games (90%). Lean over. Small sample — only 10 games of tracked data.

Best Over

−180· Pinnacle

Best Under

+134· Pinnacle

Updated 20h ago·Thin sample · 10 games·Methodology →

Paul Skenes vs 3.5: recent track record

Recent games for Paul Skenes hits allowed vs line 3.5.

Recent games vs line

The hit rate breakdown

Over
EV -
Fresh 20h ago
L580%(4/5)
L1090%(9/10)
Season90%(9/10)
Under
EV -
Fresh 20h ago
L520%(1/5)
L1010%(1/10)

Games Played

20

ERA

3.63

H L1

3

H Avg L3

5.667

H Avg L5

5.4

H Avg L7

5.286

H Avg L10

5.6

H Avg

4.35

Line movement on this prop

Line movement for both sides of the bet, plus best available over vs under over time.

Price history for the Over

Paul Skenes 4+ Hits Allowed

2 updates1 books tracked

Price history for the Under

Paul Skenes Under 3.5 Hits Allowed

2 updates1 books tracked

Best over vs best under for this line

Frequently asked

Is Paul Skenes 4+ Hits Allowed a good bet at this number?

Paul Skenes has recorded 4+ hits allowed in 9 of their last 10 games (90%). Lean over. Small sample — only 10 games of tracked data.

What is Paul Skenes's hit rate on this prop?

Paul Skenes went 4+ in 9 of 10 tracked games — 90% at this line. That's one signal. We also check the season baseline and whether the current price beats our fair-value estimate.

What is the best price on Paul Skenes 4+?

−180 at Pinnacle is the best we're seeing right now across seven books (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, theScore Bet, Pinnacle). Line shopping matters — the spread across books on a single prop usually runs 15–20 cents. Always take the top of the market.

When does this prop resolve?

Grades on the official box score after PIT @ CLE (scheduled for 1:41 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens decide whether a prop is worth betting?

We look at hit rate (last 10 and last 30), the full-season baseline, and how the prop is priced across seven books. We strip the vig to find a fair price and compare that to the best price available. If the offered price beats fair, we call it a lean. If not, we pass — and we pass a lot. A bad price is still a bad price, even when the player is on a run.