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Kyle Freeland headshot

Kyle Freeland

Hits Allowed·7+·MIA @ COL

8:41 PM ET

WagerLens Take

Is Kyle Freeland 7+ Hits Allowed a good bet at this number?

Lean Over

Kyle Freeland had 7+ hits allowed in their last game. Lean over. Small sample — only 10 games of tracked data.

Best Over

−155· BetMGM

Best Under

+115· BetMGM

Updated 50 min ago·Thin sample · 10 games·Methodology →

Kyle Freeland vs 6.5: recent track record

Recent games for Kyle Freeland hits allowed vs line 6.5.

Recent games vs line

The hit rate breakdown

Over
EV -6.1%
Fresh 50 min ago
L580%(4/5)
L1090%(9/10)
Season90%(9/10)
Under
EV -7.7%
Fresh 50 min ago
L520%(1/5)
L1010%(1/10)

Games Played

15

ERA

7.8

H L1

11

H Avg L3

8.333

H Avg L5

7.8

H Avg L7

7.857

H Avg L10

8.1

H Avg

6.6

Line movement on this prop

Line movement for both sides of the bet, plus best available over vs under over time.

Price history for the Over

Kyle Freeland 7+ Hits Allowed

5 updates2 books tracked

Price history for the Under

Kyle Freeland Under 6.5 Hits Allowed

5 updates2 books tracked

Best over vs best under for this line

Frequently asked

Is Kyle Freeland 7+ Hits Allowed a good bet at this number?

Kyle Freeland had 7+ hits allowed in their last game. Lean over. Small sample — only 10 games of tracked data.

What is Kyle Freeland's hit rate on this prop?

Kyle Freeland went 7+ in 9 of 10 tracked games — 90% at this line. That's one signal. We also check the season baseline and whether the current price beats our fair-value estimate.

What is the best price on Kyle Freeland 7+?

−155 at BetMGM is the best we're seeing right now across seven books (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, theScore Bet, Pinnacle). Line shopping matters — the spread across books on a single prop usually runs 15–20 cents. Always take the top of the market.

When does this prop resolve?

Grades on the official box score after MIA @ COL (scheduled for 8:41 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens decide whether a prop is worth betting?

We look at hit rate (last 10 and last 30), the full-season baseline, and how the prop is priced across seven books. We strip the vig to find a fair price and compare that to the best price available. If the offered price beats fair, we call it a lean. If not, we pass — and we pass a lot. A bad price is still a bad price, even when the player is on a run.