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Chase Burns

Hits Allowed·4+·CIN @ SEA

9:41 PM ET

WagerLens Take

Is Chase Burns 4+ Hits Allowed a good bet at this number?

Lean Over

Chase Burns has reached 4+ hits allowed in 6 of 7 recent games (86%). Lean over. Small sample — only 7 games of tracked data.

Best Over

−159· DraftKings

Best Under

+120· theScore Bet

Updated 58 min ago·Thin sample · 7 games·Methodology →

Chase Burns vs 3.5: recent track record

Recent games for Chase Burns hits allowed vs line 3.5.

Recent games vs line

The hit rate breakdown

Over
EV -5.0%
Fresh 58 min ago
L580%(4/5)
L1070%(7/10)
Season86%(6/7)
Under
EV -8.3%
Fresh 58 min ago
L520%(1/5)
L1030%(3/10)

Games Played

18

ERA

2.57

H L1

3

H Avg L3

5.333

H Avg L5

5

H Avg L7

5

H Avg L10

4.4

H Avg

4.278

Line movement on this prop

Line movement for both sides of the bet, plus best available over vs under over time.

Price history for the Over

Chase Burns 4+ Hits Allowed

5 updates2 books tracked

Price history for the Under

Chase Burns Under 3.5 Hits Allowed

5 updates2 books tracked

Best over vs best under for this line

Frequently asked

Is Chase Burns 4+ Hits Allowed a good bet at this number?

Chase Burns has reached 4+ hits allowed in 6 of 7 recent games (86%). Lean over. Small sample — only 7 games of tracked data.

What is Chase Burns's hit rate on this prop?

Chase Burns went 4+ in 6 of 7 tracked games — 86% at this line. That's one signal. We also check the season baseline and whether the current price beats our fair-value estimate.

What is the best price on Chase Burns 4+?

−159 at DraftKings is the best we're seeing right now across seven books (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, theScore Bet, Pinnacle). Line shopping matters — the spread across books on a single prop usually runs 15–20 cents. Always take the top of the market.

When does this prop resolve?

Grades on the official box score after CIN @ SEA (scheduled for 9:41 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens decide whether a prop is worth betting?

We look at hit rate (last 10 and last 30), the full-season baseline, and how the prop is priced across seven books. We strip the vig to find a fair price and compare that to the best price available. If the offered price beats fair, we call it a lean. If not, we pass — and we pass a lot. A bad price is still a bad price, even when the player is on a run.