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Braxton Ashcraft headshot

Braxton Ashcraft

Hits Allowed·5+·CHC @ PIT

1:36 PM ET

WagerLens Take

Is Braxton Ashcraft 5+ Hits Allowed a good bet at this number?

Lean Over

Braxton Ashcraft has had 5+ hits allowed in 5 straight games. Lean over. Small sample — only 5 games of tracked data.

Best Over

−165· DraftKings

Best Under

+124· DraftKings

Updated 4h ago·Thin sample · 5 games·Methodology →

Braxton Ashcraft vs 4.5: recent track record

Recent games for Braxton Ashcraft hits allowed vs line 4.5.

Recent games vs line

The hit rate breakdown

Over
EV -5.0%
Fresh 4h ago
L5100%(5/5)
L1090%(9/10)
Season100%(5/5)
Under
EV -7.2%
Fresh 4h ago
L50%(0/5)
L1010%(1/10)

Games Played

20

ERA

4.03

H L1

9

H Avg L3

6.667

H Avg L5

6

H Avg L7

5.571

H Avg L10

6

H Avg

5.4

Line movement on this prop

Line movement for both sides of the bet, plus best available over vs under over time.

Price history for the Over

Braxton Ashcraft 5+ Hits Allowed

2 updates2 books tracked

Price history for the Under

Braxton Ashcraft Under 4.5 Hits Allowed

2 updates2 books tracked

Best over vs best under for this line

Frequently asked

Is Braxton Ashcraft 5+ Hits Allowed a good bet at this number?

Braxton Ashcraft has had 5+ hits allowed in 5 straight games. Lean over. Small sample — only 5 games of tracked data.

What is Braxton Ashcraft's hit rate on this prop?

Braxton Ashcraft went 5+ in 5 of 5 tracked games — 100% at this line. That's one signal. We also check the season baseline and whether the current price beats our fair-value estimate.

What is the best price on Braxton Ashcraft 5+?

−165 at DraftKings is the best we're seeing right now across seven books (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, theScore Bet, Pinnacle). Line shopping matters — the spread across books on a single prop usually runs 15–20 cents. Always take the top of the market.

When does this prop resolve?

Grades on the official box score after CHC @ PIT (scheduled for 1:36 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens decide whether a prop is worth betting?

We look at hit rate (last 10 and last 30), the full-season baseline, and how the prop is priced across seven books. We strip the vig to find a fair price and compare that to the best price available. If the offered price beats fair, we call it a lean. If not, we pass — and we pass a lot. A bad price is still a bad price, even when the player is on a run.