Aaron Nola
Hits Allowed·6+·NYM @ PHI
7:11 PM ET
Is Aaron Nola 6+ Hits Allowed a good bet at this number?
Aaron Nola has recorded 6+ hits allowed in 5 of their last 7 games (71%). Lean over. Small sample — only 7 games of tracked data.
Best Over
+120· BetMGM
Best Under
−160· BetMGM
Aaron Nola vs 5.5: recent track record
Recent games for Aaron Nola hits allowed vs line 5.5.
Recent games vs line
The hit rate breakdown
Games Played
19
ERA
5.92
H L1
3
H Avg L3
6
H Avg L5
5.6
H Avg L7
5.714
H Avg L10
5.5
H Avg
5.684
Line movement on this prop
Line movement for both sides of the bet, plus best available over vs under over time.
Price history for the Over
Aaron Nola 6+ Hits Allowed
Price history for the Under
Aaron Nola Under 5.5 Hits Allowed
Best over vs best under for this line
Frequently asked
Is Aaron Nola 6+ Hits Allowed a good bet at this number?
Aaron Nola has recorded 6+ hits allowed in 5 of their last 7 games (71%). Lean over. Small sample — only 7 games of tracked data.
What is Aaron Nola's hit rate on this prop?
Aaron Nola went 6+ in 5 of 7 tracked games — 71% at this line. That's one signal. We also check the season baseline and whether the current price beats our fair-value estimate.
What is the best price on Aaron Nola 6+?
+120 at BetMGM is the best we're seeing right now across seven books (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, theScore Bet, Pinnacle). Line shopping matters — the spread across books on a single prop usually runs 15–20 cents. Always take the top of the market.
When does this prop resolve?
Grades on the official box score after NYM @ PHI (scheduled for 7:11 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens decide whether a prop is worth betting?
We look at hit rate (last 10 and last 30), the full-season baseline, and how the prop is priced across seven books. We strip the vig to find a fair price and compare that to the best price available. If the offered price beats fair, we call it a lean. If not, we pass — and we pass a lot. A bad price is still a bad price, even when the player is on a run.