Aaron Civale
Hits Allowed·5+·PIT @ ATH
9:41 PM ET
Is Aaron Civale 5+ Hits Allowed a good bet at this number?
Aaron Civale has produced 5+ hits allowed in 7 consecutive games. Lean over. Small sample — only 7 games of tracked data.
Best Over
−149· DraftKings
Best Under
+112· DraftKings
Aaron Civale vs 4.5: recent track record
Recent games for Aaron Civale hits allowed vs line 4.5.
Recent games vs line
The hit rate breakdown
Games Played
11
ERA
4.29
H L1
9
H Avg L3
6.667
H Avg L5
6.6
H Avg L7
6.286
H Avg L10
6.1
H Avg
5.909
Line movement on this prop
Line movement for both sides of the bet, plus best available over vs under over time.
Price history for the Over
Aaron Civale 5+ Hits Allowed
Price history for the Under
Aaron Civale Under 4.5 Hits Allowed
Best over vs best under for this line
Frequently asked
Is Aaron Civale 5+ Hits Allowed a good bet at this number?
Aaron Civale has produced 5+ hits allowed in 7 consecutive games. Lean over. Small sample — only 7 games of tracked data.
What is Aaron Civale's hit rate on this prop?
Aaron Civale went 5+ in 7 of 7 tracked games — 100% at this line. That's one signal. We also check the season baseline and whether the current price beats our fair-value estimate.
What is the best price on Aaron Civale 5+?
−149 at DraftKings is the best we're seeing right now across seven books (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, theScore Bet, Pinnacle). Line shopping matters — the spread across books on a single prop usually runs 15–20 cents. Always take the top of the market.
When does this prop resolve?
Grades on the official box score after PIT @ ATH (scheduled for 9:41 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens decide whether a prop is worth betting?
We look at hit rate (last 10 and last 30), the full-season baseline, and how the prop is priced across seven books. We strip the vig to find a fair price and compare that to the best price available. If the offered price beats fair, we call it a lean. If not, we pass — and we pass a lot. A bad price is still a bad price, even when the player is on a run.