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Sean Burke headshot

Sean Burke

Earned Runs·Under 2.5·HOU @ CWS

7:11 PM ET

WagerLens Take

Is Sean Burke Under 2.5 Earned Runs a good bet at this number?

Lean Under

Sean Burke has hit the under 2.5 in 5 of 5 recent games (100%). Lean under. Small sample — only 5 games of tracked data.

Best Over

−102· Pinnacle

Best Under

−122· DraftKings

Updated 1h ago·Thin sample · 5 games·Methodology →

Sean Burke vs 2.5: recent track record

Recent games for Sean Burke earned runs vs line 2.5.

Recent games vs line

The hit rate breakdown

Over
EV -5.4%
Fresh 1h ago
L50%(0/5)
L1020%(2/10)
Under
EV -5.0%
Fresh 1h ago
L5100%(5/5)
L1080%(8/10)
Season100%(5/5)

Games Played

20

ERA

3.29

Er L1

0

Er Avg L3

0.667

Er Avg L5

1

Er Avg L7

1.429

Er Avg L10

1.6

Er Avg

2

Line movement on this prop

Line movement for both sides of the bet, plus best available over vs under over time.

Price history for the Over

Sean Burke 3+ Earned Runs

8 updates2 books tracked

Price history for the Under

Sean Burke Under 2.5 Earned Runs

8 updates2 books tracked

Best over vs best under for this line

Frequently asked

Is Sean Burke Under 2.5 Earned Runs a good bet at this number?

Sean Burke has hit the under 2.5 in 5 of 5 recent games (100%). Lean under. Small sample — only 5 games of tracked data.

What is Sean Burke's hit rate on this prop?

Sean Burke went Under 2.5 in 5 of 5 tracked games — 100% at this line. That's one signal. We also check the season baseline and whether the current price beats our fair-value estimate.

What is the best price on Sean Burke Under 2.5?

−122 at DraftKings is the best we're seeing right now across seven books (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, theScore Bet, Pinnacle). Line shopping matters — the spread across books on a single prop usually runs 15–20 cents. Always take the top of the market.

When does this prop resolve?

Grades on the official box score after HOU @ CWS (scheduled for 7:11 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens decide whether a prop is worth betting?

We look at hit rate (last 10 and last 30), the full-season baseline, and how the prop is priced across seven books. We strip the vig to find a fair price and compare that to the best price available. If the offered price beats fair, we call it a lean. If not, we pass — and we pass a lot. A bad price is still a bad price, even when the player is on a run.