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Nick Martinez headshot

Nick Martinez

Earned Runs·Under 2.5·DET @ TB

1:11 PM ET

WagerLens Take

Is Nick Martinez Under 2.5 Earned Runs a good bet at this number?

Lean Under

Nick Martinez has hit the under 2.5 in 10 of 10 recent games (100%). Lean under. Small sample — only 10 games of tracked data.

Best Over

+106· Pinnacle

Best Under

−130· DraftKings

Updated 6h ago·Thin sample · 10 games·Methodology →

Nick Martinez vs 2.5: recent track record

Recent games for Nick Martinez earned runs vs line 2.5.

Recent games vs line

The hit rate breakdown

Over
EV -4.8%
Fresh 6h ago
L50%(0/5)
L100%(0/10)
Under
EV -3.1%
Fresh 6h ago
L5100%(5/5)
L10100%(10/10)
Season100%(10/10)

Games Played

12

ERA

2.33

Er L1

6

Er Avg L3

3

Er Avg L5

2

Er Avg L7

1.571

Er Avg L10

1.5

Er Avg

1.5

Line movement on this prop

Line movement for both sides of the bet, plus best available over vs under over time.

Price history for the Over

Nick Martinez 3+ Earned Runs

22 updates3 books tracked

Price history for the Under

Nick Martinez Under 2.5 Earned Runs

22 updates3 books tracked

Best over vs best under for this line

Frequently asked

Is Nick Martinez Under 2.5 Earned Runs a good bet at this number?

Nick Martinez has hit the under 2.5 in 10 of 10 recent games (100%). Lean under. Small sample — only 10 games of tracked data.

What is Nick Martinez's hit rate on this prop?

Nick Martinez went Under 2.5 in 10 of 10 tracked games — 100% at this line. That's one signal. We also check the season baseline and whether the current price beats our fair-value estimate.

What is the best price on Nick Martinez Under 2.5?

−130 at DraftKings is the best we're seeing right now across seven books (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, theScore Bet, Pinnacle). Line shopping matters — the spread across books on a single prop usually runs 15–20 cents. Always take the top of the market.

When does this prop resolve?

Grades on the official box score after DET @ TB (scheduled for 1:11 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens decide whether a prop is worth betting?

We look at hit rate (last 10 and last 30), the full-season baseline, and how the prop is priced across seven books. We strip the vig to find a fair price and compare that to the best price available. If the offered price beats fair, we call it a lean. If not, we pass — and we pass a lot. A bad price is still a bad price, even when the player is on a run.