Luis Castillo
Earned Runs·Under 2.5·SEA @ TB
7:11 PM ET
Is Luis Castillo Under 2.5 Earned Runs a good bet at this number?
Luis Castillo cleared the under 2.5 in their last game. Lean under. Small sample — only 7 games of tracked data.
Best Over
−109· DraftKings
Best Under
−120· BetMGM
Luis Castillo vs 2.5: recent track record
Recent games for Luis Castillo earned runs vs line 2.5.
Recent games vs line
The hit rate breakdown
Games Played
17
ERA
4.94
Er L1
2
Er Avg L3
2.333
Er Avg L5
2
Er Avg L7
1.571
Er Avg L10
2
Er Avg
2.588
Line movement on this prop
Line movement for both sides of the bet, plus best available over vs under over time.
Price history for the Over
Luis Castillo 3+ Earned Runs
Price history for the Under
Luis Castillo Under 2.5 Earned Runs
Best over vs best under for this line
Frequently asked
Is Luis Castillo Under 2.5 Earned Runs a good bet at this number?
Luis Castillo cleared the under 2.5 in their last game. Lean under. Small sample — only 7 games of tracked data.
What is Luis Castillo's hit rate on this prop?
Luis Castillo went Under 2.5 in 6 of 7 tracked games — 86% at this line. That's one signal. We also check the season baseline and whether the current price beats our fair-value estimate.
What is the best price on Luis Castillo Under 2.5?
−120 at BetMGM is the best we're seeing right now across seven books (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, theScore Bet, Pinnacle). Line shopping matters — the spread across books on a single prop usually runs 15–20 cents. Always take the top of the market.
When does this prop resolve?
Grades on the official box score after SEA @ TB (scheduled for 7:11 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens decide whether a prop is worth betting?
We look at hit rate (last 10 and last 30), the full-season baseline, and how the prop is priced across seven books. We strip the vig to find a fair price and compare that to the best price available. If the offered price beats fair, we call it a lean. If not, we pass — and we pass a lot. A bad price is still a bad price, even when the player is on a run.