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Kyle Harrison headshot

Kyle Harrison

Earned Runs·Under 2.5·MIL @ ATH

10:06 PM ET

WagerLens Take

Is Kyle Harrison Under 2.5 Earned Runs a good bet at this number?

Worth a look, Under

Kyle Harrison has hit the under 2.5 in 10 of 10 recent games (100%). WagerLens flags this market. Small sample — only 10 games of tracked data.

Best Over

+109· DraftKings

Best Under

−114· Pinnacle

Updated 1h ago·Thin sample · 10 games·Methodology →

Kyle Harrison vs 2.5: recent track record

Recent games for Kyle Harrison earned runs vs line 2.5.

Recent games vs line

The hit rate breakdown

Over
EV +4.9%
Fresh 1h ago
L50%(0/5)
L100%(0/10)
Under
EV -1.0%
Fresh 1h ago
L5100%(5/5)
L10100%(10/10)
Season100%(10/10)

Games Played

11

ERA

1.6

Er L1

1

Er Avg L3

0.333

Er Avg L5

0.6

Er Avg L7

0.571

Er Avg L10

0.9

Er Avg

0.909

Line movement on this prop

Line movement for both sides of the bet, plus best available over vs under over time.

Price history for the Over

Kyle Harrison 3+ Earned Runs

12 updates3 books tracked

Price history for the Under

Kyle Harrison Under 2.5 Earned Runs

12 updates3 books tracked

Best over vs best under for this line

Frequently asked

Is Kyle Harrison Under 2.5 Earned Runs a good bet at this number?

Kyle Harrison has hit the under 2.5 in 10 of 10 recent games (100%). WagerLens flags this market. Small sample — only 10 games of tracked data.

Why is this tagged worth a look?

WagerLens flags Under 2.5 earned runs.

What is Kyle Harrison's hit rate on this prop?

Kyle Harrison went Under 2.5 in 10 of 10 tracked games — 100% at this line. That's one signal. We also check the season baseline and whether the current price beats our fair-value estimate.

What is the best price on Kyle Harrison Under 2.5?

−114 at Pinnacle is the best we're seeing right now across seven books (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, theScore Bet, Pinnacle). Line shopping matters — the spread across books on a single prop usually runs 15–20 cents. Always take the top of the market.

When does this prop resolve?

Grades on the official box score after MIL @ ATH (scheduled for 10:06 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens decide whether a prop is worth betting?

We look at hit rate (last 10 and last 30), the full-season baseline, and how the prop is priced across seven books. We strip the vig to find a fair price and compare that to the best price available. If the offered price beats fair, we call it a lean. If not, we pass — and we pass a lot. A bad price is still a bad price, even when the player is on a run.