Jesus Luzardo
Earned Runs·Under 2.5·MIA @ PHI
6:41 PM ET
Is Jesus Luzardo Under 2.5 Earned Runs a good bet at this number?
Jesus Luzardo cleared the under 2.5 in their last game. Lean under. Small sample — only 10 games of tracked data.
Best Over
+137· Pinnacle
Best Under
−168· DraftKings
Jesus Luzardo vs 2.5: recent track record
Recent games for Jesus Luzardo earned runs vs line 2.5.
Recent games vs line
The hit rate breakdown
Games Played
14
ERA
4.49
Er L1
1
Er Avg L3
2.667
Er Avg L5
2
Er Avg L7
2.143
Er Avg L10
1.8
Er Avg
2.714
Line movement on this prop
Line movement for both sides of the bet, plus best available over vs under over time.
Price history for the Over
Jesus Luzardo 3+ Earned Runs
Price history for the Under
Jesus Luzardo Under 2.5 Earned Runs
Best over vs best under for this line
Frequently asked
Is Jesus Luzardo Under 2.5 Earned Runs a good bet at this number?
Jesus Luzardo cleared the under 2.5 in their last game. Lean under. Small sample — only 10 games of tracked data.
What is Jesus Luzardo's hit rate on this prop?
Jesus Luzardo went Under 2.5 in 8 of 10 tracked games — 80% at this line. That's one signal. We also check the season baseline and whether the current price beats our fair-value estimate.
What is the best price on Jesus Luzardo Under 2.5?
−168 at DraftKings is the best we're seeing right now across seven books (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, theScore Bet, Pinnacle). Line shopping matters — the spread across books on a single prop usually runs 15–20 cents. Always take the top of the market.
When does this prop resolve?
Grades on the official box score after MIA @ PHI (scheduled for 6:41 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens decide whether a prop is worth betting?
We look at hit rate (last 10 and last 30), the full-season baseline, and how the prop is priced across seven books. We strip the vig to find a fair price and compare that to the best price available. If the offered price beats fair, we call it a lean. If not, we pass — and we pass a lot. A bad price is still a bad price, even when the player is on a run.