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Jacob Misiorowski

Earned Runs·Under 1.5·PHI @ MIL

7:41 PM ET

WagerLens Take

Is Jacob Misiorowski Under 1.5 Earned Runs a good bet at this number?

Lean Under

Jacob Misiorowski has hit the under 1.5 in 7 of 7 recent games (100%). Lean under. Small sample — only 7 games of tracked data.

Best Over

+111· Pinnacle

Best Under

−122· DraftKings

Updated 1h ago·Thin sample · 7 games·Methodology →

Jacob Misiorowski vs 1.5: recent track record

Recent games for Jacob Misiorowski earned runs vs line 1.5.

Recent games vs line

The hit rate breakdown

Over
EV -3.3%
Fresh 1h ago
L50%(0/5)
L1020%(2/10)
Under
EV +2.9%
Fresh 1h ago
L5100%(5/5)
L1080%(8/10)
Season100%(7/7)

Games Played

13

ERA

1.51

Er L1

0

Er Avg L3

0.333

Er Avg L5

0.2

Er Avg L7

0.143

Er Avg L10

0.7

Er Avg

1

Line movement on this prop

Line movement for both sides of the bet, plus best available over vs under over time.

Price history for the Over

Jacob Misiorowski 2+ Earned Runs

7 updates3 books tracked

Price history for the Under

Jacob Misiorowski Under 1.5 Earned Runs

7 updates3 books tracked

Best over vs best under for this line

Frequently asked

Is Jacob Misiorowski Under 1.5 Earned Runs a good bet at this number?

Jacob Misiorowski has hit the under 1.5 in 7 of 7 recent games (100%). Lean under. Small sample — only 7 games of tracked data.

What is Jacob Misiorowski's hit rate on this prop?

Jacob Misiorowski went Under 1.5 in 7 of 7 tracked games — 100% at this line. That's one signal. We also check the season baseline and whether the current price beats our fair-value estimate.

What is the best price on Jacob Misiorowski Under 1.5?

−122 at DraftKings is the best we're seeing right now across seven books (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, theScore Bet, Pinnacle). Line shopping matters — the spread across books on a single prop usually runs 15–20 cents. Always take the top of the market.

When does this prop resolve?

Grades on the official box score after PHI @ MIL (scheduled for 7:41 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens decide whether a prop is worth betting?

We look at hit rate (last 10 and last 30), the full-season baseline, and how the prop is priced across seven books. We strip the vig to find a fair price and compare that to the best price available. If the offered price beats fair, we call it a lean. If not, we pass — and we pass a lot. A bad price is still a bad price, even when the player is on a run.