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Brandon Sproat headshot

Brandon Sproat

Earned Runs·Under 2.5·MIL @ SF

9:45 PM ET

WagerLens Take

Is Brandon Sproat Under 2.5 Earned Runs a good bet at this number?

Lean Under

Brandon Sproat has hit the under 2.5 in 5 of 5 recent games (100%). Lean under. Small sample — only 5 games of tracked data.

Best Over

+105· DraftKings

Best Under

−137· Pinnacle

Updated 2 min ago·Thin sample · 5 games·Methodology →

Brandon Sproat vs 2.5: recent track record

Recent games for Brandon Sproat earned runs vs line 2.5.

Recent games vs line

The hit rate breakdown

Over
EV -6.8%
Fresh 2 min ago
L50%(0/5)
L1040%(4/10)
Under
EV -5.2%
Fresh 2 min ago
L5100%(5/5)
L1060%(6/10)
Season100%(5/5)

Games Played

19

ERA

5.33

Er L1

2

Er Avg L3

1.667

Er Avg L5

1.4

Er Avg L7

1.714

Er Avg L10

2.3

Er Avg

2.579

Line movement on this prop

Line movement for both sides of the bet, plus best available over vs under over time.

Price history for the Over

Brandon Sproat 3+ Earned Runs

8 updates3 books tracked

Price history for the Under

Brandon Sproat Under 2.5 Earned Runs

8 updates3 books tracked

Best over vs best under for this line

Frequently asked

Is Brandon Sproat Under 2.5 Earned Runs a good bet at this number?

Brandon Sproat has hit the under 2.5 in 5 of 5 recent games (100%). Lean under. Small sample — only 5 games of tracked data.

What is Brandon Sproat's hit rate on this prop?

Brandon Sproat went Under 2.5 in 5 of 5 tracked games — 100% at this line. That's one signal. We also check the season baseline and whether the current price beats our fair-value estimate.

What is the best price on Brandon Sproat Under 2.5?

−137 at Pinnacle is the best we're seeing right now across seven books (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, theScore Bet, Pinnacle). Line shopping matters — the spread across books on a single prop usually runs 15–20 cents. Always take the top of the market.

When does this prop resolve?

Grades on the official box score after MIL @ SF (scheduled for 9:45 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens decide whether a prop is worth betting?

We look at hit rate (last 10 and last 30), the full-season baseline, and how the prop is priced across seven books. We strip the vig to find a fair price and compare that to the best price available. If the offered price beats fair, we call it a lean. If not, we pass — and we pass a lot. A bad price is still a bad price, even when the player is on a run.