Tyler Mahle
Earned Runs·3+·COL @ SF
4:06 PM ET
Is Tyler Mahle 3+ Earned Runs a good bet at this number?
Tyler Mahle produced 3+ earned runs last game. Lean over. Small sample — only 7 games of tracked data.
Best Over
+118· DraftKings
Best Under
−150· BetMGM
Tyler Mahle vs 2.5: recent track record
Recent games for Tyler Mahle earned runs vs line 2.5.
Recent games vs line
The hit rate breakdown
Games Played
14
ERA
5.88
Er L1
3
Er Avg L3
2.333
Er Avg L5
3.2
Er Avg L7
3.571
Er Avg L10
3
Er Avg
3.214
Line movement on this prop
Line movement for both sides of the bet, plus best available over vs under over time.
Price history for the Over
Tyler Mahle 3+ Earned Runs
Price history for the Under
Tyler Mahle Under 2.5 Earned Runs
Best over vs best under for this line
Frequently asked
Is Tyler Mahle 3+ Earned Runs a good bet at this number?
Tyler Mahle produced 3+ earned runs last game. Lean over. Small sample — only 7 games of tracked data.
What is Tyler Mahle's hit rate on this prop?
Tyler Mahle went 3+ in 6 of 7 tracked games — 86% at this line. That's one signal. We also check the season baseline and whether the current price beats our fair-value estimate.
What is the best price on Tyler Mahle 3+?
+118 at DraftKings is the best we're seeing right now across seven books (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, theScore Bet, Pinnacle). Line shopping matters — the spread across books on a single prop usually runs 15–20 cents. Always take the top of the market.
When does this prop resolve?
Grades on the official box score after COL @ SF (scheduled for 4:06 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens decide whether a prop is worth betting?
We look at hit rate (last 10 and last 30), the full-season baseline, and how the prop is priced across seven books. We strip the vig to find a fair price and compare that to the best price available. If the offered price beats fair, we call it a lean. If not, we pass — and we pass a lot. A bad price is still a bad price, even when the player is on a run.