Skip to main content
Paul Skenes headshot

Paul Skenes

Earned Runs·2+·PIT @ CLE

1:41 PM ET

WagerLens Take

Is Paul Skenes 2+ Earned Runs a good bet at this number?

Lean Over

Paul Skenes has produced 2+ earned runs in 7 consecutive games. Lean over. Small sample — only 7 games of tracked data.

Best Over

−115· Pinnacle

Best Under

+101· DraftKings

Updated 9h ago·Thin sample · 7 games·Methodology →

Paul Skenes vs 1.5: recent track record

Recent games for Paul Skenes earned runs vs line 1.5.

Recent games vs line

The hit rate breakdown

Over
EV -2.7%
Fresh 9h ago
L5100%(5/5)
L1080%(8/10)
Season100%(7/7)
Under
EV +0.2%
Fresh 9h ago
L50%(0/5)
L1020%(2/10)

Games Played

20

ERA

3.63

Er L1

2

Er Avg L3

3.667

Er Avg L5

3.4

Er Avg L7

3

Er Avg L10

2.7

Er Avg

2.15

Line movement on this prop

Line movement for both sides of the bet, plus best available over vs under over time.

Price history for the Over

Paul Skenes 2+ Earned Runs

27 updates3 books tracked

Price history for the Under

Paul Skenes Under 1.5 Earned Runs

27 updates3 books tracked

Best over vs best under for this line

Frequently asked

Is Paul Skenes 2+ Earned Runs a good bet at this number?

Paul Skenes has produced 2+ earned runs in 7 consecutive games. Lean over. Small sample — only 7 games of tracked data.

What is Paul Skenes's hit rate on this prop?

Paul Skenes went 2+ in 7 of 7 tracked games — 100% at this line. That's one signal. We also check the season baseline and whether the current price beats our fair-value estimate.

What is the best price on Paul Skenes 2+?

−115 at Pinnacle is the best we're seeing right now across seven books (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, theScore Bet, Pinnacle). Line shopping matters — the spread across books on a single prop usually runs 15–20 cents. Always take the top of the market.

When does this prop resolve?

Grades on the official box score after PIT @ CLE (scheduled for 1:41 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens decide whether a prop is worth betting?

We look at hit rate (last 10 and last 30), the full-season baseline, and how the prop is priced across seven books. We strip the vig to find a fair price and compare that to the best price available. If the offered price beats fair, we call it a lean. If not, we pass — and we pass a lot. A bad price is still a bad price, even when the player is on a run.