Paul Skenes
Earned Runs·2+·MIL @ PIT
12:16 PM ET
Is Paul Skenes 2+ Earned Runs a good bet at this number?
Paul Skenes has produced 2+ earned runs in 5 consecutive games. Lean over. Small sample — only 5 games of tracked data.
Best Over
−175· BetMGM
Best Under
+125· BetMGM
Paul Skenes vs 1.5: recent track record
Recent games for Paul Skenes earned runs vs line 1.5.
Recent games vs line
The hit rate breakdown
Games Played
19
ERA
3.63
Er L1
2
Er Avg L3
4.333
Er Avg L5
3.4
Er Avg L7
2.857
Er Avg L10
3
Er Avg
2.158
Line movement on this prop
Line movement for both sides of the bet, plus best available over vs under over time.
Price history for the Over
Paul Skenes 2+ Earned Runs
Price history for the Under
Paul Skenes Under 1.5 Earned Runs
Best over vs best under for this line
Frequently asked
Is Paul Skenes 2+ Earned Runs a good bet at this number?
Paul Skenes has produced 2+ earned runs in 5 consecutive games. Lean over. Small sample — only 5 games of tracked data.
What is Paul Skenes's hit rate on this prop?
Paul Skenes went 2+ in 5 of 5 tracked games — 100% at this line. That's one signal. We also check the season baseline and whether the current price beats our fair-value estimate.
What is the best price on Paul Skenes 2+?
−175 at BetMGM is the best we're seeing right now across seven books (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, theScore Bet, Pinnacle). Line shopping matters — the spread across books on a single prop usually runs 15–20 cents. Always take the top of the market.
When does this prop resolve?
Grades on the official box score after MIL @ PIT (scheduled for 12:16 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens decide whether a prop is worth betting?
We look at hit rate (last 10 and last 30), the full-season baseline, and how the prop is priced across seven books. We strip the vig to find a fair price and compare that to the best price available. If the offered price beats fair, we call it a lean. If not, we pass — and we pass a lot. A bad price is still a bad price, even when the player is on a run.