Kyle Freeland
Earned Runs·4+·MIL @ COL
3:11 PM ET
Is Kyle Freeland 4+ Earned Runs a good bet at this number?
Kyle Freeland had 4+ earned runs in their last game. Lean over. Small sample — only 7 games of tracked data.
Best Over
−124· DraftKings
Best Under
+115· BetMGM
Kyle Freeland vs 3.5: recent track record
Recent games for Kyle Freeland earned runs vs line 3.5.
Recent games vs line
The hit rate breakdown
Games Played
11
ERA
8.43
Er L1
5
Er Avg L3
5.333
Er Avg L5
5.8
Er Avg L7
5.571
Er Avg L10
4.1
Er Avg
3.909
Line movement on this prop
Line movement for both sides of the bet, plus best available over vs under over time.
Price history for the Over
Kyle Freeland 4+ Earned Runs
Price history for the Under
Kyle Freeland Under 3.5 Earned Runs
Best over vs best under for this line
Frequently asked
Is Kyle Freeland 4+ Earned Runs a good bet at this number?
Kyle Freeland had 4+ earned runs in their last game. Lean over. Small sample — only 7 games of tracked data.
What is Kyle Freeland's hit rate on this prop?
Kyle Freeland went 4+ in 6 of 7 tracked games — 86% at this line. That's one signal. We also check the season baseline and whether the current price beats our fair-value estimate.
What is the best price on Kyle Freeland 4+?
−124 at DraftKings is the best we're seeing right now across seven books (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, theScore Bet, Pinnacle). Line shopping matters — the spread across books on a single prop usually runs 15–20 cents. Always take the top of the market.
When does this prop resolve?
Grades on the official box score after MIL @ COL (scheduled for 3:11 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens decide whether a prop is worth betting?
We look at hit rate (last 10 and last 30), the full-season baseline, and how the prop is priced across seven books. We strip the vig to find a fair price and compare that to the best price available. If the offered price beats fair, we call it a lean. If not, we pass — and we pass a lot. A bad price is still a bad price, even when the player is on a run.