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George Kirby headshot

George Kirby

Earned Runs·2+·BAL @ SEA

9:41 PM ET

WagerLens Take

Is George Kirby 2+ Earned Runs a good bet at this number?

Lean Over

George Kirby has had 2+ earned runs in 5 straight games. Lean over. Small sample — only 5 games of tracked data.

Best Over

−160· BetMGM

Best Under

+131· DraftKings

Updated 1h ago·Thin sample · 5 games·Methodology →

George Kirby vs 1.5: recent track record

Recent games for George Kirby earned runs vs line 1.5.

Recent games vs line

The hit rate breakdown

Over
EV -4.4%
Fresh 1h ago
L5100%(5/5)
L1080%(8/10)
Season100%(5/5)
Under
EV -4.9%
Fresh 1h ago
L50%(0/5)
L1020%(2/10)

Games Played

14

ERA

4.18

Er L1

3

Er Avg L3

3.667

Er Avg L5

4

Er Avg L7

3.286

Er Avg L10

2.8

Er Avg

2.714

Line movement on this prop

Line movement for both sides of the bet, plus best available over vs under over time.

Price history for the Over

George Kirby 2+ Earned Runs

4 updates2 books tracked

Price history for the Under

George Kirby Under 1.5 Earned Runs

4 updates2 books tracked

Best over vs best under for this line

Frequently asked

Is George Kirby 2+ Earned Runs a good bet at this number?

George Kirby has had 2+ earned runs in 5 straight games. Lean over. Small sample — only 5 games of tracked data.

What is George Kirby's hit rate on this prop?

George Kirby went 2+ in 5 of 5 tracked games — 100% at this line. That's one signal. We also check the season baseline and whether the current price beats our fair-value estimate.

What is the best price on George Kirby 2+?

−160 at BetMGM is the best we're seeing right now across seven books (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, theScore Bet, Pinnacle). Line shopping matters — the spread across books on a single prop usually runs 15–20 cents. Always take the top of the market.

When does this prop resolve?

Grades on the official box score after BAL @ SEA (scheduled for 9:41 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens decide whether a prop is worth betting?

We look at hit rate (last 10 and last 30), the full-season baseline, and how the prop is priced across seven books. We strip the vig to find a fair price and compare that to the best price available. If the offered price beats fair, we call it a lean. If not, we pass — and we pass a lot. A bad price is still a bad price, even when the player is on a run.