Christian Kirk
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
NFL Bet check Settled: Miss
Moneyline
Denver Broncos to win
4 of 6 decided (67%) · this season
Price as of Oct 4, 4:21 PM ET +140 at DraftKings
Verified facts
Denver Broncos won 4 of its last 6 tracked games (67%).
Showing saved research.
Final: Denver Broncos 14, San Francisco 49ers 24.
Closing price not available. Pregame evidence: hit 2 of 3 (67%) in the last 3.
Closing price: DraftKings +140 · 10¢ better than BetRivers
Prices as of Oct 4, 4:21 PM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Game context
Denver Broncos is 4–2; San Francisco 49ers is 6–0 in their available season results. That's background for moneyline, not a win probability.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
2026 season · 6 games
4–2
Record
19
Points / game
20.8
Allowed / game
2026 season · 6 games
6–0
Record
29.5
Points / game
18.3
Allowed / game
Denver Broncos results over the last 6 games.
Record
4W · 2L
Win rate
67%
Scores: selected team–opponent
Wk 1
@ KC
Loss
10–31
Wk 2
vs JAX
Win
20–13
Wk 3
vs LA
Win
30–26
Wk 4
@ SF
Loss
14–24
Wk 5
@ LAC
Win
23–17
Wk 6
vs SEA
Win
17–14
| Date | Opponent | Result | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 6 | vsSEA | Won | Win17–14 |
| Wk 5 | @LAC | Won | Win23–17 |
| Wk 4 | @SF | Lost | Loss14–24 |
| Wk 3 | vsLA | Won | Win30–26 |
| Wk 2 | vsJAX | Won | Win20–13 |
| Wk 1 | @KC | Lost | Loss10–31 |
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Open
+172
Current
+140
Change
−32
Best available moved from +172 to +140. That's a worse payout. The move still doesn't tell you whether Denver Broncos to win is worth backing.
Pregame research captured
San Francisco 49ers
Jordan James
RB · Coach's Decision ·
James Thompson Jr.
DT · Ankle ·
Ephesians Prysock
CB · Coach's Decision ·
Kurtis Rourke
QB · Coach's Decision ·
Enrique Cruz Jr.
OT · Coach's Decision ·
Denver Broncos
Dallen Bentley
TE · Coach's Decision ·
Dondrea Tillman
LB · Hamstring ·
Tyler Onyedim
DT · Coach's Decision ·
Kage Casey
OT · Coach's Decision ·
Sam Ehlinger
QB · Coach's Decision ·
ESPN game data (opens in a new tab) ·
ESPN snapshot
Model snapshot
San Francisco 49ers by 7.9
ESPN model source (opens in a new tab)Broncos coach Sean Payton had the 49ers logo painted on the team's practice field.
The 49ers and Broncos square off in a highly anticipated Week 4 matchup.
nypost.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Christian Kirk
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Adam Prentice
Reported context: Reported availability does not confirm an unrestricted workload.
Denver Broncos won 4 of its last 6 tracked games (67%).
Denver Broncos won in 4 of 6 games across this season (6 games) (67% win rate).
+140 at DraftKings is the best price attached to this check for Denver Broncos to win right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 4:25 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
We compare recent win rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.