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Ryne Nelson headshot

Ryne Nelson

Ks·Under 4.5·LAA @ ARI

9:41 PM ET

WagerLens Take

Is Ryne Nelson Under 4.5 Ks a good bet at this number?

Lean Under

Ryne Nelson has hit the under 4.5 in 5 of 5 recent games (100%). Lean under. Small sample — only 5 games of tracked data.

Best Over

−140· BetMGM

Best Under

+124· Pinnacle

Updated 12 min ago·Thin sample · 5 games·Methodology →

Ryne Nelson vs 4.5: recent track record

Recent games for Ryne Nelson ks vs line 4.5.

Recent games vs line

The hit rate breakdown

Over
EV -0.8%
Fresh 12 min ago
L50%(0/5)
L1020%(2/10)
Under
EV -3.3%
Fresh 12 min ago
L5100%(5/5)
L1080%(8/10)
Season100%(5/5)

Games Played

14

So L1

2

So Avg L3

2.667

So Avg L5

2.8

So Avg L7

4.143

So Avg L10

3.8

So Avg

4.071

Line movement on this prop

Line movement for both sides of the bet, plus best available over vs under over time.

Price history for the Over

Ryne Nelson 5+ Ks

17 updates5 books tracked

Price history for the Under

Ryne Nelson Under 4.5 Ks

17 updates5 books tracked

Best over vs best under for this line

Frequently asked

Is Ryne Nelson Under 4.5 Ks a good bet at this number?

Ryne Nelson has hit the under 4.5 in 5 of 5 recent games (100%). Lean under. Small sample — only 5 games of tracked data.

What is Ryne Nelson's hit rate on this prop?

Ryne Nelson went Under 4.5 in 5 of 5 tracked games — 100% at this line. That's one signal. We also check the season baseline and whether the current price beats our fair-value estimate.

What is the best price on Ryne Nelson Under 4.5?

+124 at Pinnacle is the best we're seeing right now across seven books (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, theScore Bet, Pinnacle). Line shopping matters — the spread across books on a single prop usually runs 15–20 cents. Always take the top of the market.

When does this prop resolve?

Grades on the official box score after LAA @ ARI (scheduled for 9:41 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens decide whether a prop is worth betting?

We look at hit rate (last 10 and last 30), the full-season baseline, and how the prop is priced across seven books. We strip the vig to find a fair price and compare that to the best price available. If the offered price beats fair, we call it a lean. If not, we pass — and we pass a lot. A bad price is still a bad price, even when the player is on a run.