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Nathan Eovaldi

Ks·5+·TEX @ TOR

7:08 PM ET

WagerLens Take

Is Nathan Eovaldi 5+ Ks a good bet at this number?

Lean Over

Nathan Eovaldi had 5+ strikeouts in their last game. Lean over. Small sample — only 7 games of tracked data.

Best Over

−165· BetMGM

Best Under

+130· theScore Bet

Updated 43 min ago·Thin sample · 7 games·Methodology →

Nathan Eovaldi vs 4.5: recent track record

Recent games for Nathan Eovaldi ks vs line 4.5.

Recent games vs line

The hit rate breakdown

Over
EV -4.1%
Fresh 43 min ago
L580%(4/5)
L1080%(8/10)
Season86%(6/7)
Under
EV -5.7%
Fresh 43 min ago
L520%(1/5)
L1020%(2/10)

Games Played

15

ERA

4.29

So L1

9

So Avg L3

6

So Avg L5

6.2

So Avg L7

6.429

So Avg L10

6.3

So Avg

6.133

Line movement on this prop

Line movement for both sides of the bet, plus best available over vs under over time.

Price history for the Over

Nathan Eovaldi 5+ Ks

7 updates4 books tracked

Price history for the Under

Nathan Eovaldi Under 4.5 Ks

7 updates4 books tracked

Best over vs best under for this line

Frequently asked

Is Nathan Eovaldi 5+ Ks a good bet at this number?

Nathan Eovaldi had 5+ strikeouts in their last game. Lean over. Small sample — only 7 games of tracked data.

What is Nathan Eovaldi's hit rate on this prop?

Nathan Eovaldi went 5+ in 6 of 7 tracked games — 86% at this line. That's one signal. We also check the season baseline and whether the current price beats our fair-value estimate.

What is the best price on Nathan Eovaldi 5+?

−165 at BetMGM is the best we're seeing right now across seven books (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, theScore Bet, Pinnacle). Line shopping matters — the spread across books on a single prop usually runs 15–20 cents. Always take the top of the market.

When does this prop resolve?

Grades on the official box score after TEX @ TOR (scheduled for 7:08 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens decide whether a prop is worth betting?

We look at hit rate (last 10 and last 30), the full-season baseline, and how the prop is priced across seven books. We strip the vig to find a fair price and compare that to the best price available. If the offered price beats fair, we call it a lean. If not, we pass — and we pass a lot. A bad price is still a bad price, even when the player is on a run.