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Grant Holmes headshot

Grant Holmes

Ks·Under 4.5·NYM @ ATL

7:16 PM ET

WagerLens Take

Is Grant Holmes Under 4.5 Ks a good bet at this number?

Lean Under

Grant Holmes has hit the under 4.5 in 5 of 5 recent games (100%). Lean under. Small sample — only 5 games of tracked data.

Best Over

−122· FanDuel

Best Under

+101· DraftKings

Updated 1h ago·Thin sample · 5 games·Methodology →

Grant Holmes vs 4.5: recent track record

Recent games for Grant Holmes ks vs line 4.5.

Recent games vs line

The hit rate breakdown

Over
EV -5.2%
Fresh 1h ago
L50%(0/5)
L1030%(3/10)
Under
EV -3.1%
Fresh 1h ago
L5100%(5/5)
L1070%(7/10)
Season100%(5/5)

Games Played

16

ERA

4.08

So L1

4

So Avg L3

3.333

So Avg L5

3.2

So Avg L7

4.429

So Avg L10

4.4

So Avg

4.312

Line movement on this prop

Line movement for both sides of the bet, plus best available over vs under over time.

Price history for the Over

Grant Holmes 5+ Ks

21 updates5 books tracked

Price history for the Under

Grant Holmes Under 4.5 Ks

21 updates5 books tracked

Best over vs best under for this line

Frequently asked

Is Grant Holmes Under 4.5 Ks a good bet at this number?

Grant Holmes has hit the under 4.5 in 5 of 5 recent games (100%). Lean under. Small sample — only 5 games of tracked data.

What is Grant Holmes's hit rate on this prop?

Grant Holmes went Under 4.5 in 5 of 5 tracked games — 100% at this line. That's one signal. We also check the season baseline and whether the current price beats our fair-value estimate.

What is the best price on Grant Holmes Under 4.5?

+101 at DraftKings is the best we're seeing right now across seven books (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, theScore Bet, Pinnacle). Line shopping matters — the spread across books on a single prop usually runs 15–20 cents. Always take the top of the market.

When does this prop resolve?

Grades on the official box score after NYM @ ATL (scheduled for 7:16 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens decide whether a prop is worth betting?

We look at hit rate (last 10 and last 30), the full-season baseline, and how the prop is priced across seven books. We strip the vig to find a fair price and compare that to the best price available. If the offered price beats fair, we call it a lean. If not, we pass — and we pass a lot. A bad price is still a bad price, even when the player is on a run.