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Miguel Vargas headshot

Miguel Vargas

Hits·1+·ATL @ CWS

7:41 PM ET

WagerLens Take

Is Miguel Vargas 1+ Hits a good bet at this number?

Lean Over

Miguel Vargas has produced 1+ hits in 7 consecutive games. Lean over. Small sample — only 7 games of tracked data.

Best Over

−200· BetMGM

Best Under

+181· DraftKings

Updated 2h ago·Thin sample · 7 games·Methodology →

Miguel Vargas vs 0.5: recent track record

Recent games for Miguel Vargas hits vs line 0.5.

Recent games vs line

The hit rate breakdown

Over
EV +0.2%
Fresh 2h ago
L5100%(5/5)
L1090%(9/10)
Season100%(7/7)
Under
EV +0.1%
Fresh 2h ago
L50%(0/5)
L1010%(1/10)

Games Played

66

BA

0.243

H L1

1

H Avg L3

1

H Avg L5

1

H Avg L7

1

H Avg L10

1.1

H Avg

0.879

Line movement on this prop

Line movement for both sides of the bet, plus best available over vs under over time.

Price history for the Over

Miguel Vargas 1+ Hits

17 updates4 books tracked

Price history for the Under

Miguel Vargas Under 0.5 Hits

15 updates3 books tracked

Best over vs best under for this line

Frequently asked

Is Miguel Vargas 1+ Hits a good bet at this number?

Miguel Vargas has produced 1+ hits in 7 consecutive games. Lean over. Small sample — only 7 games of tracked data.

What is Miguel Vargas's hit rate on this prop?

Miguel Vargas went 1+ in 7 of 7 tracked games — 100% at this line. That's one signal. We also check the season baseline and whether the current price beats our fair-value estimate.

What is the best price on Miguel Vargas 1+?

−200 at BetMGM is the best we're seeing right now across seven books (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, theScore Bet, Pinnacle). Line shopping matters — the spread across books on a single prop usually runs 15–20 cents. Always take the top of the market.

When does this prop resolve?

Grades on the official box score after ATL @ CWS (scheduled for 7:41 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens decide whether a prop is worth betting?

We look at hit rate (last 10 and last 30), the full-season baseline, and how the prop is priced across seven books. We strip the vig to find a fair price and compare that to the best price available. If the offered price beats fair, we call it a lean. If not, we pass — and we pass a lot. A bad price is still a bad price, even when the player is on a run.