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Miguel Vargas headshot

Miguel Vargas

Hits·1+·LAD @ CWS

7:41 PM ET

WagerLens Take

Is Miguel Vargas 1+ Hits a good bet at this number?

Lean Over

Miguel Vargas has produced 1+ hits in 7 consecutive games. Lean over. Small sample — only 7 games of tracked data.

Best Over

−160· BetMGM

Best Under

+151· DraftKings

Updated 1h ago·Thin sample · 7 games·Methodology →

Miguel Vargas vs 0.5: recent track record

Recent games for Miguel Vargas hits vs line 0.5.

Recent games vs line

The hit rate breakdown

Over
EV +2.6%
Fresh 1h ago
L5100%(5/5)
L1090%(9/10)
Season100%(7/7)
Under
EV -0.6%
Fresh 1h ago
L50%(0/5)
L1010%(1/10)

Games Played

66

BA

0.243

H L1

1

H Avg L3

1

H Avg L5

1

H Avg L7

1

H Avg L10

1.1

H Avg

0.879

Line movement on this prop

Line movement for both sides of the bet, plus best available over vs under over time.

Price history for the Over

Miguel Vargas 1+ Hits

10 updates4 books tracked

Price history for the Under

Miguel Vargas Under 0.5 Hits

9 updates3 books tracked

Best over vs best under for this line

Frequently asked

Is Miguel Vargas 1+ Hits a good bet at this number?

Miguel Vargas has produced 1+ hits in 7 consecutive games. Lean over. Small sample — only 7 games of tracked data.

What is Miguel Vargas's hit rate on this prop?

Miguel Vargas went 1+ in 7 of 7 tracked games — 100% at this line. That's one signal. We also check the season baseline and whether the current price beats our fair-value estimate.

What is the best price on Miguel Vargas 1+?

−160 at BetMGM is the best we're seeing right now across seven books (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, theScore Bet, Pinnacle). Line shopping matters — the spread across books on a single prop usually runs 15–20 cents. Always take the top of the market.

When does this prop resolve?

Grades on the official box score after LAD @ CWS (scheduled for 7:41 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens decide whether a prop is worth betting?

We look at hit rate (last 10 and last 30), the full-season baseline, and how the prop is priced across seven books. We strip the vig to find a fair price and compare that to the best price available. If the offered price beats fair, we call it a lean. If not, we pass — and we pass a lot. A bad price is still a bad price, even when the player is on a run.