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Jose Fernandez headshot

Jose Fernandez

Runs·Under 0.5·WAS @ ARI

9:41 PM ET

WagerLens Take

Is Jose Fernandez Under 0.5 Runs a good bet at this number?

Lean Under

Jose Fernandez has hit the under 0.5 in 7 of 7 recent games (100%). Lean under. Small sample — only 7 games of tracked data.

Best Over

+200· BetMGM

Best Under

−194· DraftKings

Updated 1h ago·Thin sample · 7 games·Methodology →

Jose Fernandez vs 0.5: recent track record

Recent games for Jose Fernandez runs vs line 0.5.

Recent games vs line

The hit rate breakdown

Over
EV +10.7%
Fresh 1h ago
L50%(0/5)
L1010%(1/10)
Under
EV +1.6%
Fresh 1h ago
L5100%(5/5)
L1090%(9/10)
Season100%(7/7)

Games Played

55

BA

0.255

R L1

0

R Avg L3

0

R Avg L5

0

R Avg L7

0

R Avg L10

0.1

R Avg

0.418

Line movement on this prop

Line movement for both sides of the bet, plus best available over vs under over time.

Price history for the Over

Jose Fernandez 1+ Runs

8 updates3 books tracked

Price history for the Under

Jose Fernandez Under 0.5 Runs

8 updates3 books tracked

Best over vs best under for this line

Frequently asked

Is Jose Fernandez Under 0.5 Runs a good bet at this number?

Jose Fernandez has hit the under 0.5 in 7 of 7 recent games (100%). Lean under. Small sample — only 7 games of tracked data.

What is Jose Fernandez's hit rate on this prop?

Jose Fernandez went Under 0.5 in 7 of 7 tracked games — 100% at this line. That's one signal. We also check the season baseline and whether the current price beats our fair-value estimate.

What is the best price on Jose Fernandez Under 0.5?

−194 at DraftKings is the best we're seeing right now across seven books (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, theScore Bet, Pinnacle). Line shopping matters — the spread across books on a single prop usually runs 15–20 cents. Always take the top of the market.

When does this prop resolve?

Grades on the official box score after WAS @ ARI (scheduled for 9:41 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens decide whether a prop is worth betting?

We look at hit rate (last 10 and last 30), the full-season baseline, and how the prop is priced across seven books. We strip the vig to find a fair price and compare that to the best price available. If the offered price beats fair, we call it a lean. If not, we pass — and we pass a lot. A bad price is still a bad price, even when the player is on a run.