Ildemaro Vargas
Runs·Under 0.5·LAD @ ARI
9:41 PM ET
Is Ildemaro Vargas Under 0.5 Runs a good bet at this number?
Ildemaro Vargas has hit the under 0.5 in 7 of 7 recent games (100%). Lean under. Small sample — only 7 games of tracked data.
Best Over
+150· BetMGM
Best Under
−175· DraftKings
Ildemaro Vargas vs 0.5: recent track record
Recent games for Ildemaro Vargas runs vs line 0.5.
Recent games vs line
The hit rate breakdown
Games Played
54
BA
0.286
R L1
0
R Avg L3
0
R Avg L5
0
R Avg L7
0
R Avg L10
0.2
R Avg
0.556
Line movement on this prop
Line movement for both sides of the bet, plus best available over vs under over time.
Price history for the Over
Ildemaro Vargas 1+ Runs
Price history for the Under
Ildemaro Vargas Under 0.5 Runs
Best over vs best under for this line
Frequently asked
Is Ildemaro Vargas Under 0.5 Runs a good bet at this number?
Ildemaro Vargas has hit the under 0.5 in 7 of 7 recent games (100%). Lean under. Small sample — only 7 games of tracked data.
What is Ildemaro Vargas's hit rate on this prop?
Ildemaro Vargas went Under 0.5 in 7 of 7 tracked games — 100% at this line. That's one signal. We also check the season baseline and whether the current price beats our fair-value estimate.
What is the best price on Ildemaro Vargas Under 0.5?
−175 at DraftKings is the best we're seeing right now across seven books (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, theScore Bet, Pinnacle). Line shopping matters — the spread across books on a single prop usually runs 15–20 cents. Always take the top of the market.
When does this prop resolve?
Grades on the official box score after LAD @ ARI (scheduled for 9:41 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens decide whether a prop is worth betting?
We look at hit rate (last 10 and last 30), the full-season baseline, and how the prop is priced across seven books. We strip the vig to find a fair price and compare that to the best price available. If the offered price beats fair, we call it a lean. If not, we pass — and we pass a lot. A bad price is still a bad price, even when the player is on a run.