Joc Pederson
HR·1+·DET @ TEX
4:06 PM ET
Is Joc Pederson 1+ HR a good bet at this number?
Joc Pederson has had 1+ hr in 5 of 7 recent games (71%). Lean over. Small sample — only 7 games of tracked data.
Best Over
+408· Pinnacle
Best Under
−650· theScore Bet
Joc Pederson vs 0.5: recent track record
Recent games for Joc Pederson hr vs line 0.5.
Recent games vs line
The hit rate breakdown
Games Played
80
BA
0.240
OPS
0.809
SLG
0.472
Hr L1
0
Hr Avg L3
0.667
Hr Avg L5
0.6
Hr Avg L7
0.714
Hr Avg L10
0.5
Hr Avg
0.175
Line movement on this prop
Line movement for both sides of the bet, plus best available over vs under over time.
Price history for the Over
Joc Pederson 1+ HR
Price history for the Under
Joc Pederson Under 0.5 HR
Best over vs best under for this line
Frequently asked
Is Joc Pederson 1+ HR a good bet at this number?
Joc Pederson has had 1+ hr in 5 of 7 recent games (71%). Lean over. Small sample — only 7 games of tracked data.
What is Joc Pederson's hit rate on this prop?
Joc Pederson went 1+ in 5 of 7 tracked games — 71% at this line. That's one signal. We also check the season baseline and whether the current price beats our fair-value estimate.
What is the best price on Joc Pederson 1+?
+408 at Pinnacle is the best we're seeing right now across seven books (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, theScore Bet, Pinnacle). Line shopping matters — the spread across books on a single prop usually runs 15–20 cents. Always take the top of the market.
When does this prop resolve?
Grades on the official box score after DET @ TEX (scheduled for 4:06 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens decide whether a prop is worth betting?
We look at hit rate (last 10 and last 30), the full-season baseline, and how the prop is priced across seven books. We strip the vig to find a fair price and compare that to the best price available. If the offered price beats fair, we call it a lean. If not, we pass — and we pass a lot. A bad price is still a bad price, even when the player is on a run.