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Andrew Alvarez headshot

Andrew Alvarez

Outs·Under 15.5·WAS @ SF

9:46 PM ET

WagerLens Take

Is Andrew Alvarez Under 15.5 Outs a good bet at this number?

Lean Under

Andrew Alvarez has hit the under 15.5 in 5 of 5 recent games (100%). Lean under. Small sample — only 5 games of tracked data.

Best Over

+108· DraftKings

Best Under

−143· Caesars

Updated 56 min ago·Thin sample · 5 games·Methodology →

Andrew Alvarez vs 15.5: recent track record

Recent games for Andrew Alvarez outs vs line 15.5.

Recent games vs line

The hit rate breakdown

Over
EV -7.3%
Fresh 56 min ago
L50%(0/5)
L100%(0/10)
Under
EV -5.8%
Fresh 56 min ago
L5100%(5/5)
L1060%(6/10)
Season100%(5/5)

Games Played

6

ERA

3.71

Outs L1

14

Outs Avg L3

9

Outs Avg L5

9.6

Outs Avg L7

10.167

Outs Avg L10

10.167

Outs Avg

10.167

Line movement on this prop

Line movement for both sides of the bet, plus best available over vs under over time.

Price history for the Over

Andrew Alvarez 16+ Outs

5 updates2 books tracked

Price history for the Under

Andrew Alvarez Under 15.5 Outs

5 updates2 books tracked

Best over vs best under for this line

Frequently asked

Is Andrew Alvarez Under 15.5 Outs a good bet at this number?

Andrew Alvarez has hit the under 15.5 in 5 of 5 recent games (100%). Lean under. Small sample — only 5 games of tracked data.

What is Andrew Alvarez's hit rate on this prop?

Andrew Alvarez went Under 15.5 in 5 of 5 tracked games — 100% at this line. That's one signal. We also check the season baseline and whether the current price beats our fair-value estimate.

What is the best price on Andrew Alvarez Under 15.5?

−143 at Caesars is the best we're seeing right now across seven books (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, theScore Bet, Pinnacle). Line shopping matters — the spread across books on a single prop usually runs 15–20 cents. Always take the top of the market.

When does this prop resolve?

Grades on the official box score after WAS @ SF (scheduled for 9:46 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens decide whether a prop is worth betting?

We look at hit rate (last 10 and last 30), the full-season baseline, and how the prop is priced across seven books. We strip the vig to find a fair price and compare that to the best price available. If the offered price beats fair, we call it a lean. If not, we pass — and we pass a lot. A bad price is still a bad price, even when the player is on a run.